Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Forcing Yuan Re-valuation May Yield Negative Results for USD

Obama has recently been attacking the yuan and its low value relative to the dollar, in essence what he aims to do is to increase the yuan/dollar ratio so that US debt to China actually decreases in a real sense. This is also aimed at increasing US manufacturing competitiveness towards Chinese customers and the world.

However, the low value of the yuan which is pegged to the dollar actually supports the dollar’s value and is a buffer against inflation. By allowing the yuan to freely float Obama invites hyper-inflation sooner rather than later.

Admittedly, there simply aren’t enough jobs in only the high-tech and service related industries to keep every American employed. Manufacturing jobs are also crucial to national defense, and are these industries are often at the heart of great inventions and improvements to quality of life.

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For Those on Fixed Incomes, Government Bailout a Scam

Those people who get by month by month on a fixed income should know that the way that the economy is being restored will, in fact, help corporations and banks and get things back in order. However, the way the bailout is structured simply leaves no doubt behind that your dollars will be worth less in a short amount of time.

Think about it like this, banks are going under because of speculation on the prices of real estate, and the easy ways people had of acquiring loans and mortgages, all the while not being able to actually pay them back thanks to a variety of reasons. Money, which traditionally held value thanks to actually backing in gold and silver, can now be easily created using a press of a mouse button. The Internet has also created an easy way to shop, where consumers can spend money they don’t have easily and conveniently from the comfort of their own home. The average savings was abhorrently low, and most people were barely getting by on each pay check.

The result was what we now call the credit crunch, as money had vanished as speculative wealth was evaporated as prices readjusted after the bubble had popped. Some banks went under, but most major banks were given bailouts, large sums of money (in the billions), and the government decided to buy out bad assets. The burden of this bailout was placed on the taxpayer and an increase in the money supply to help alleviate the credit crunch. Interest rates were lowered to about zero, and wild programs such as ‘cash for clunkers’ were hurriedly enacted.

The problem with all this spending and the bailout plan is that the exit strategy is flawed. They plan to simply remove capital (cash) from the system after it recovers. How exactly are they going to do that? Instead, we will see a great increase in prices of oil, food, and other commodities as what more any more seems like ‘play money’ is injected into the system.

How do you protect yourself from this? As the old saying goes, if you can’t beat them, join them. Most of the people making these policy decisions have more than average savings and investments. Investments in the stock market especially in banks would be particularly lucrative as they are the ones that are being handed literally tons of cash, other investments include oil futures and commodities. It causes those who earn mediocre salaries that do not allow for savings to be at a disadvantage, as they are being left out on the beneficial side of inflation and government hand outs and instead on the disadvantageous position of slowly learning less real value per month.

As John Maynard Keynes puts it,

By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens…. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose.

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Who is Responsible for our Financial Crisis?

Who I ask is responsible for the financial crisis of 2008? (If you don’t feel like reading this post but have your own notions of who is responsible then please feel free to comment without reading the below).

This is a very hard question to answer, and I for one certainly do not have a definitive answer. I can, however, provide some clues as to what put us in this situation. The average American consumer saved 10% of their annual income in the 1970s, now the average consumer saves 0%. The national debt is over $10,600,000,000,000!

Going back to personal savings if Americans were able to save 10% of their income and avoid going into debt we would not be experiencing depression today. But going back to the root problem, if rates weren’t so low then people wouldn’t be so enticed to borrow so much. However if rates weren’t raised (which they were before the mortgage crisis) most likely most homeowners would be able to make their house payments.

 

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